Saturday, October 21, 2006

 

The Blind Squirrels of Science

From the AP in today’s Washington Post: Future Forecast: Extreme Weather

“The world -- especially the Western United States, the Mediterranean region and Brazil -- is likely to suffer more extended droughts, heavy rainfalls and longer heat waves over the next century because of global warming, a new study forecasts.

“But the prediction of a future of nasty extreme weather also includes fewer freezes and a longer growing season…

"It's going to be a wild ride, especially for specific regions," said the study's lead author, Claudia Tebaldi, a scientist at the federally funded academic research center.”

But before you panic; from Thursday’s Washington Post:

"The main uncertainty in the outlook is not whether the season will be above normal, but how much above normal it will be," [Ed. Note: the also federally funded] National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecasters announced in May. That forecast called for eight to 10 hurricanes and noted that the year might be "hyperactive."

“Now comes a humbling moment for prognosticators: Those predictions were wrong.” South Spent Millions on a Hurricane Season That Wasn't

But if we all do fry because of Global Warming, I blame John Kerry: usnews.com: Washington Whispers: May 2004 (3rd Item)

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